At this point in the season irregardless of the format you participate in reality has stepped up and bit you.   Playoff dreams are long gone, in reach or looking good.    Every year, every player, from the pros to first timers enjoy dealing with these three scenarios.

So . . . it’s GUT CHECK time!

Looking at your standings , you are 3-5 and there is only one path to follow.  The next 3 weeks hit your waivers hard, work it and evaluate up and coming talent.  All the prep work you do now, will pay off double come next August.  This type of scouting where you are watching players getting increased snaps gives you an edge over owners not watching with an eye to 2016.   There are 4 owners in your league that are focused on what players can do for them this year in the playoff run.   Meanwhile you are looking for impact in 2016.

Look at players  getting opportunities in specific game scenarios,  particularly   on NFL teams that are also well out of playoff contention.    NFL teams sporting similar records to you will want to get bench players snaps to determine value in 2016.    As an example, 4 owners are evaluating if Malcolm Floyd, WR, Chargers, can help them on the bench for their playoff run  . . . . you however should be watching to determine if he will be a solid #2 to Keenan Allen in 2016 to help you slot him on your draft board.

Watch with close detail any snaps by promising rookies or 1st , 2nd year players.

David Johnson, RB Arizona is getting lost among CJ2’s remarkable run and in  Andre Ellington  coming off the injury report.   2016 will be a new year in Arizona,  Chris Johnson is nowhere a lock to be the same player in 2016.   Andre Ellington is not a 15-20 touch a week guy.

Jeremy Langford , RB, Chicago, will get his chance to replace the injured Matt Forte.  His audition might only be 2-3 weeks, but it is a sneak peek of where head coach John Fox will go next year.  The Bears are a great team to scout right now.  They are not fantasy darlings so many owners devalue them because of the erratic Jay Cutler.   Next year, Kevin White is essentially a bonus 1st round pick, to start the rebuilding.   Expect Cutler and Forte to exit.

Matt Jones, RB, Washington,   this rookie is well known and not close to a secret, but your job is to evaluate him as the RB1 next year and would you draft him in the top 10 in 2016.   Alfred Morris is leaving in 2016, he is a free agent.   With Callahan setting up that OL he is already moving towards that ranking.  Watch the Washington team, do you think the organization is starting to turn the corner and will field a competitive unit?  A solid competitive team means an improved steady week to week running game.

Amer Abdullah, RB, Lions, another promising rookie who has fizzled in the Lions disastrous season.    Important to watch and scout Abdullah as a feature back in 2016.   The front office has already been canned and Caldwell will follow them in December.   There is no question he will be the lead back in 2016, but you need to watch to help determine how far up the board you would draft him.  A great team to watch, as once again owners will be down on the dysfunction here.  Expect a turning of the torch, Tate for Calvin and Amer for Bell 100%.

Others to Watch:  DeVante Parker, WR – Miami, he will be the WR2 in 2016  /     Nelson Agholor, WR, Eagles  /  Stephon Diggs, WR , Vikings, (red hot now, scout to see of he and Charles Johnson can make Mike Wallace obsolete) Also evaluate Teddy, can he make these WR options steady WR 2 candidates for you in 2016  /     Maxx Williams, TE, Baltimore   /  Charles Simms, RB, Bucs, will be a threat to Doug Martin in 16  /  Dorial Green Beckham, WR, Titans  /   Thomas Rawls RB, Seattle, he has faded from view as Beast has re-emerged, however, 2016 Marshawn may make good on his efforts to retire or get punted elsewhere  /   Melvin Gordan, RB, Chargers.

Despite your best efforts, at 3 and 5 staying on top of your game provides 3 benefits.  1) You will be better prepared in 2016, 2)  You will have some fun knocking off a playoff team, you know that great feeling that if the schedule had been different you would be 5-3, there is some satisfaction to that . . . . right?  3) Work to max out your points to see how your team ranked in total points.

A last action to take, print off the league draft report.  Write down few remarks about the draft and why you went for certain players.   Pay particularly attention to  guys that have under performed and over produced where they were drafted.    Take these note out next July as a watch out for patterns or habits that over influence you.    The best example here is if you drafted some players with a slant towards a favorable Strength of Schedule or expected great QB play.

November 7th, 2015

Posted In: 2016 Draft, Draft Rankings, Fantasy Football Rankings, Strategy

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Hankerson has pushed Roddy to the curb.

We head into week 4 – and yes, for some of you the 1/3 mark of the regular season.   That is why you spend early sometimes, getting the benefit of the player you acquired for 12 games rather than 8 or 4.  Naturally you have to hit, and pick up a legit contributor, but if you have listened to the show,  players like Deon Lewis, Leonard Hankerson, (6-103 a TD on 8 targets),  Karlos Williams and Tavon Austin might be helping you out.

Texans – Foster owners relax, give it another week, 8 for 12,  Polk is a 100% drop.    Devonta Freeman is long gone, if not, 25% of your budget%, he owns the spot, Coleman is due back to practice this week.

Dolphins, with the coaching change watch for Kenny Stills to make himself knows.   I still like Jonas Gray, RB as a deep sleeper, $1.

Maxx Williams, TE, Baltimore, with the Steve Smith injury he could have 1-2 decent weeks. He had 2-17 on the ground.   Kamar Aiken (5-77 on 7 targets) is the Baltimore #1 right now, they traded for Chris Givens from the Rams.

M Bryant returns for the Steelers, drop Wheaton, (1-18 on 1 target).

Javorius Allen gets a lot of touches with poor production, which means he practices hard and makes no assignment mistakes.   Keep watching this rookie, he is a Forsett injury away form being a top 20 RB.  5-19 on the ground.

Andre Johnson is a drop . . . . yes a drop . . . .aghh.

Hurns and Robinson were targeted a combined 27 times, despite the low profile team and market they should be 100% rostered.

Rueben Randle, WR, NYG, will only get better as Cruz watches his season slip away.  He only had 3-31 on 6 targets, so if an owner overreacts and he gets dropped, scoop him up.

Karlos Williams, RB Buff, will start for 2 more week sin place of McCoy.  He should be 100% rostered.  3-30 and a TD in the air , 18-40 on the ground.

Andre Williams will eventually take over for Jennings as the NYG # 1 back.  11-35, a nice #19 or 20 on your team for $5

Ted Ginn Jr., just kidding, 2 TD’s , that’s it , no more Ted, I can’t take it.

Charles Simms, TBB, RB, watch only at this point.

Cameron Artis – Payne, RB, Panthers, watch, he is next in line and it won’t take long.  8-25

Nelson Agholor, WR, Philly, if over reacting GM’s dropped him he is a 20% target.   He will have a high floor rest of season.

Chris Thompson, RB, Wash, will hurt Matt Jones touch count.   Thompson was on fire last week. 6-53 on the ground and 2-24 in the air.

Darren Sproles, no not waive, be patient,

Roy Helu played for the first time this year for Oakland. 2-13 on the ground.  A watch player.

Darren McFadden, if out there is now worth it, Dunbar’s ACL will place McFadden into the 3rd down, pass catching back role.

Cole Beasley, WR, Dallas, also gets an uptick due to Dunbar.  Also newly acquired Brice Butler went down with a hammy, also good for Cole.  5%

Willie Snead is Drew’s guy, 15%.  6-89 on 6 targets.  He is clearly the guy Drew looks for.    Look for him to have better and better numbers the rest of the way.

David Johnson, RB, Arizona.  If you have room a great #20.  He has flashed big play ability and can get the tough yards.  Needs veteran CJ Johnson and oft injured Ellington to get nicked up again.  A high powered offense, try to find room for him on your roster.  3-18 on the ground, 4-63 in the air and a TD.  However he dropped a TD pass and had a fumble.

If anyone quit on Cardinal John Brown, WR, pick him up.  7-75 on 10 targets .. . . . welcome back where the hell have you been.

Ronnie Hillman, clearly the #1 guy this week on waivers.   Look for Ronnie to be the #1 back until he gets hurt. He is finding space and reading the holes much better than CJ Anderson.  11-103 on the ground with a TD.

Richard Rogers, a great TE 2, should get his share of TD’ s rest of season.  A great matchup play. 5-45 and a TD.

Antonio Gates back, making Ladarius Green’s value pretty marginal.




October 6th, 2015

Posted In: NFL Fantasy Football

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Ready to jump in, or try to improve your rate of return . . .

Essentially, you will need to elect to play in large tournaments with big payoffs and many participants or in head to head or divisional contest with 2-10 players.

I like to run wild and do several head to head contest with 2 or 3 different roster variations and then also enter a few large tournaments to take a roll at the big bucks.

There are several variations on participating available to fit your needs.   You can play in just 1pm games , perfect when you are hanging out with friends to watch the early games at a venue.  One of my favorites is to enter into a Sunday Night Monday Night league.  This is where the available pool of players only comes from the Sun and Mon night games.   Naturally here, a lot of folks will have the same players, so the trick is to make sure you go for two players who are under the radar.  Additionally, your entry fee can go anywhere from $1 up to $1,000 depending on your taste for risk.   You will be able to see how many entries are allowed in the contest you want to enter.  If you only want to try and beat 1, 100, 1000 entries, you can find a league to enter.     The earlier you enter in a week the more league choice you have as they do fill up. This is a solid move as it is easy to swap out players later.    Reserve your spot early, then tweek lineup as needed.

A lot is out there about poker players entering in contest 100’s of times, mathematicians using algorithms and wizards working charms to take all the prize pool.   All you need to know about that is,  in week 2, the owner who  started the Browns DST, Travis Benjamin at WR,  and Matt Jones at RB posted the high score.  None of those people would have picked that roster.

Basic – each player has an assigned salary value and you have x amount of money to complete a full lineup.  Usually a $60,000 salary cap.


1) If you are new to sign up make sure you get a promo code first.  Every major has bonus codes that are real and will usually match your initial deposits. They will at least track your deposits until you reach a value at which point they pay out a bonus

2) Start small, play a few $1 or $2 entries and do some head to head.   Observe the rosters from team who win

3) In head to head, best strategy is usually to just build a solid balanced team with high floor guys at every position

4) In large tournaments take 1-2 swings.  Get a guy who you believe will have the potential for a bust out game. Additionally, in tournaments, stacking players for a specific matchup is a common approach.  Stacking is when you like the matchup for the Falcons going against the Steelers.  You see this as a wide open gunslinger game with a lot of points.   Stacking would be getting Julio Jones and Matt Ryan on your team.  Stacking is not looking at the Packers playing the Texans and believing the matchup is so lopsided that the packers will win by 20.  In that case caution, in this type of game the dominate team often takes the foot off the gas in the second half and point production slow down.    Last note here, a peek at the Vegas over under will give you a another opinion about how many points will be scored in the game

5)  Listen to the Fantasy Tactics Podcast on Sundays, “Zero Hour”  geared 100% for the daily game.  Shameless Self Promotion – better subscribe, download and rate it on ITunes.

6)   Don’t tweek, fuss and adjust your roster until you spend all salary cap.  Build the best team that is under the cap.   If you end up with $4500 not spent, don’t go back and try to find a way to spend all cap.

7) Have fun, stay in moderation, don’t get discouraged with a few bad weeks.


September 26th, 2015

Posted In: NFL Fantasy Football

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Houston –  Carolina

Alfred Blue and the Texan running game are non factors until Foster returns.    Do not waste any $ on Chris Polk or Alfred Blue.

Ryan Mallett could become an interesting QB 2 once Foster returns – – he is showing some gun slinging capability.

Corey (Philly) Brown continues to get targets – nailed 3-57 and a TD on 4 targets. – – -watch and grab if you have holes.

Nate Washington, WR, Houston – under the radar player that many owners pass on in various formats.  Nate drilled 3-63 on * yes 8 targets.

Cecil Shorts drew 12 targets in same game – 6-34.  I would spend 5% – 8% on Nate if in need.

Niners – Steelers

DeAngelo’s ride almost over . . . will now become a nice change of pace back.  If a quick to draw owner drops him I would pick him up.  He has demonstrated he can run and catch on this team.  Bell, as with many players will be prone to an injury setback as he returns to the team .

If owners drop Heath Miller, a nice pick up.  He should be a a decent high floor TE2 rest of the way .

Mike Davis is Hyde’s clear backup, keep him on your watch list.

Bucs – Saints

Brees shoulder a concern . . . QB’s and shoulders are as bad as WR and feet.  Khiry Robinson looks appealing,  5-48   and 1-9 in the air, but as Spillar gets healthy he will chew into Robinson’s time.

I like Brandon Coleman to bounce back, he is very close to the WR2 on this team and Drew’s only big target . . . we are just waiting for the inevitable Colston injury. Pick him up, nice match up this week. 3-33 on 6 targets

Charles Sims got a lot of looks, 8-38 and 3-14 in the air , a watch player.

Austin Seferian-Jenkins, TE, don’t bail.  He is a fixture for Winston

Josh Hill, TE, NO, the off season favorite sleeper for many had 4 targets.  Watch


Cardinals – Bears

As predicted , by week 4, Jimmy Clausen will have more snaps than Cutler.  David Johnson, RB, Arizona.  Depending on your format, if he is free , 60% of your budget if you need RB3.  The real deal and a great swing for it player.  Playing behind a retread Chris Johnson and waiting for oft injured Ellington to play.

John Brown, WR, Cards, should be rostered, disappointing to date, don;t give up.

Falcons – Giants

Andre Williams, had 5-43, watch, is likely going to take over for Jennings at some point.

Leonard Hankerson, WR, Atl, at least I can brag here.  Repeatedly talked about on show.   He is in a perfect spot.  If you are WR needy he is a legit WR3 on the team and very close to taking Roddy’s role when he goes down.  6-77-1 TD, on 11 targets and had a TD called down at the 1 yard line.

Larry Donnell, TE, NYG, may see more of after a bad 0-2 start for the Giants.  4-28- 1 TD

Chargers – Bengals

If Marvin Jones is not on a roster in your format he is a great WR5 to have on your bench for bye week support. 2-48 – 1 TD – 5 targets.

Danny Woodhead should be long gone, but in the event he is on waivers he is a fixture of this team’s passing attack and is notable in the red zone packages.

Ladarius Green, 5-47, possible earning a full time role even when Gates returns,

Cowboys – Eagles

Brandon Weeden . . . no

Darren McFadden, RB, Dallas, may see an increased role as the Cowboys will try to run more without Romo.

Darren Sproles, RB, Philly, rough game but a fixture, if on waivers pluck him.  4-23 on 4 targets is his floor

Terrance Williams – uptick form the Dez injury, downtick from the Cassell trade.  4-84 on 7 targets

Agholar, WR , Philly, will come on – 3-31 and was wide open for a TD and missed


Titans – Browns

Mariota – he is saying I am a QB2 – hmm  21-37-257-2-0

McCluster showing what many thought he would be for the Titans – 10-98  and 4-26  – his electric addition to this offense might stick if Marcus likes him as a emergency outlet.

Duke Johnson, RB, Browns, a lot of touches,  12-43, get him on your team he will see more and more carries.

Lions – Vikings

Charles Johnson, WR, disappointing game with 3-10 on 3 targets.  Still a keeper and will catch fire at some point.   I also like that eventually Rudolph will go down, which will net him more targets.  If available inn your format grab him.

Theo Riddick, RB, Lions, given Bell’s injury history and a rookie running as a one, Theo is a very sneaky 20th man, watch player.  Had 5-41 in the air on 6 targets.

Broncos – Chiefs

Ronnie Hillman is entrenched and running great.  If free in your format his is my 2nd top waiver add this week.   He will get touches every week irregardless of CJ Anderson.  9-34 was not inspiring but yuo got a bad game out of the way .

John O’ Shaunasy, TE, KC, watch, plenty of talent and Kelce has a bad injury history.   Alex Smith will be looking at the TE more often in the future.

Patriots – Bills

Aaron Dobson for the first time in 2 year is not on a single team I own.  Why is that important . . . we all know . . . because now he will do something!  7-87, but keep in mind Brady was unglued and on fire.  Still, if you are deep at WR he is a nice stab for a 2oth man.  At least a close watch given Amendola’s and Gronk’s injury history.

Karlos Williams , RB, Bill, 6-21-1 and 2-16.  Will get a decent share of the touches every week, and when McCoy goes down he will be the #1.  Excellent end of year boom player.

Scott Chandler, TE, NE – 3-23 on 5 targets.  A nice high floor TE 2/3.  I expect at least 1 red zone target every week.


September 22nd, 2015

Posted In: NFL Fantasy Football

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Ok, I am a Fantasy Football junkie and snob.  Over the last 3 years I have dabbled in the Daily game enough to be familiar with it and answer questions intelligently.  Change is constant . . . . that is a constant.  I have entered 2015 aggressively into the Daily game and have enjoyed the first few weeks tremendously.   What I like about it is the ability to pull my Non-Fantasy Football nerd friends into fantasy.

Friends who would not spend the time to manage even a free Yahoo team, will put a roster in with you before kickoff on Sunday and join the Fantasy fun.

Even if you have remained on the sideline, I encourage you to dabble, play a few lottery tickets.  In the spirit of disclosure I will warn you, you are playing against 10’s and 10’s of thousands . . . so in the big payoff leagues your odds are long. . . .  but at a single $ . . . . that’s my type of lottery.

There are other formats besides the big payoff leagues.   Tournaments, leagues where only a certain percentage of the entries win.  Usually from 10 to 25% or so are winners.    These can include rather large prize pools.  These are the large payoff leagues that are hyped most often . . . ya know, I spent 5$ and won $15,000 type leagues in the advertisements.

50/50 contest are just that.  You have a 50% chance of winning.  Usually a head to head contest.  Wager a single $ and win $1.80   You can wager a single dollar or up the ante all you want.  I play in this area a lot.

There are 1:00 pm game only contest – – create a lineup in a league where everyone can only use players from the 1:00 pm game.  YThis is great if you are at an establishment or home with friends all watching the 1:00 pm game.

A few strategies:

Stacking:  This is when you believe in a game where the offense is going to lite it up.  You like the Rogers , match up vs the Falcon defense.  You are on board for a shoot out between these two offenses,  so you grab Rogers and stack him with Cobb and James Jones.    This is a good strategy in tournaments where you need to post massive points to bring home the bacon.   Watch out for Stacking plays that tempt you for bad matchups.  Example – Andrew Luck is facing the hapless Bucs. A lot of folks like the idea of playing Luck with Hilton and Allen  – keep in mind, it is likely that by the middle of the 3rd quarter the Colts will be in cruise control and take the foot off the gas pedal . . . and hence a lot of running.   Always better to stack when 2 great offenses are going head to head and they both have marginal offenses.

Balanced:  This is where you set an even lineup of solid players across the board at all positions.    Spending about an average of $6,500 per RB, WR, $9,000 at QB and about $5,000 at DST and K.  Best use for this strategy is in small pool 50/50 contest.  This is a good fit for Fantasy Players – -let your skills shine when you pick the better set of  3 of the $6500 WR than your competition.  Be patient, if you really like a balanced team you put together , enter it in  10 x in 50-50 contest – – a great way to minimize risk and get your feet wet.

Cheap QB:  Start building your lineup by setting the highest upside QB you like with the lowest salary.  This set the sage for you to go strong at RB and WR and balanced at TE, DST and K.    This is a good strategy to adopt when you see a great match up on the schedule for a low value QB, and believe you can exploit it over a large percentage of your competitors.

Every Sunday, Chris and I host the zero hour Fantasy Daily Game Radio Show.  Tune in . . . download it on ITunes

Good Luck

September 20th, 2015

Posted In: NFL Fantasy Football

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It wasn’t many years ago when every serious fantasy player was turned on to the 3rd year WR break out trend.  However, over the last 4 years or so, rookies have come into the NFL and been very fantasy relevant from week 1 and certainly in years 1 and 2.    This rookie trend has kept the hype on potential 3rd year breakout candidates down to a low murmur.  Hence an opportunity.

A look at the candidates and it should provide some nice insights into value selections that will outperform ADP

Keenan Allen, on prolific passing offense, nice,  can be a WR1 on your team.   Charles Johnson, will be Teddy’s main squeeze.   Marques Wheaton my never give up the #2 spot.   Aaron Dobson . . hmm – what could be. Marquess Wilson may be held back to Cutler’s passing game but a close watch is warranted. DeAndre Hopkins is well ,loved and drafted in the 2nd and 3rd round . . . not going to outperform that ADP, he is a pass.   Robert Woods is one solid WR, stuck on a team that won’t wow yoou passing this year . . . but in dynasty keeper leagues he is a nice addition.   Terrance Williams finds himself as the primary benefactor to playing opposite one the leagues best in Dez Bryant.   Lastly, can Tavon Austin be a tease one more year . . . I would not bet on that offense making hi fantasy relevant.  In 2 years  with a short accurate passing QB . . . could be lights out.

Player Team Age Height Weight 2013 Rec 2014 Rec
Keenan Allen SD 23 6’2 206 71 77
Charles Johnson MIN 26 6’2 215 0 31
DeAndre Hopkins HOU 23 6’1 214 58 76
Markus Wheaton PIT 24 5’11 182 6 53
Aaron Dobson NE 24 6’3 203 37 3
Marquess Wilson CHI 22 6’4 184 2 17
Robert Woods BUF 23 6’0 190 40 65
Terrance Williams DAL 25 6’2 208 44 37
Cordarrelle Patterson MIN 24 6’2 216 45 33
Kenny Stills MIA 23 6’0 194 32 63
Justin Hunter TEN 24 6’4 202 18 28
Tavon Austin STL 24 5’8 174 40 32
Stedman Bailey STL 24 5’10 193 17 30

September 6th, 2015

Posted In: 2015 Draft, 2015 Draft Rankings, Dynasty, NFL Fantasy Football

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Rank Last First Team
1 Gronkowski Rob NE
2 Graham Jimmy SEA
3 Kelce Travis KC
4 Olsen Greg CAR
5 Bennett Martellus CHI
6 Cameron Jordan MIA
7 Ertz Zach PHI
8 Walker Delanie TEN
9 Thomas Julius JAX
10 Witten Jason DAL
11 Rudolph Kyle MIN
12 Miller Heath PIT
13 Eifert Tyler CIN
14 Fleener Coby IND
15 Gates Antonio SD
16 Hill Josh NO
17 Clay Charles BUF
18 Ebron Eric DET
19 Reed Jordan WAS
20 Green Ladarius SD
21 Williams Maxx BAL
22 Rodgers Richard GB
23 Davis Vernon SF
24 Cook Jared STL
25 Daniels Owen DEN
26 Seferian-Jenkins Austin TB
27 Donnell Larry NYG
28 Allen Dwayne IND
29 Housler Rob CLE
30 Walford Clive OAK
31 Tamme Jacob ATL
32 Rivera Mychal OAK
33 Paul Niles WAS
34 Fiedorowicz C.J. HOU
35 Graham Garrett HOU
36 Green Virgil DEN
37 Escobar Gavin DAL
38 Celek Brent PHI
38 Chandler Scott NE
39 Watson Ben NO
40 Niklas Troy ARI
41 Kendricks Lance STL
42 Quarless Andrew GB
43 Sims Dion MIA
45 Toilolo Levine ATL
46 Lewis Marcedes JAX
47 Wright Timothy TBB
48 Willson Luke SEA
49 Ford Chase MIN
50 Cumberland Jeff NYJ
51 Myers Brandon TB
52 Moeaki Tony ATL
53 Pitta Dennis BAL
54 Amaro Jace NYJ

September 6th, 2015

Posted In: NFL Fantasy Football

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Rank Last First Team
1 Brown Antonio PIT
2 Bryant Dez DAL
3 Beckham Odell NYG
4 Jones Julio ATL
5 Cobb Randall GB
6 Thomas Demaryius DEN
7 Johnson Calvin DET
8 Green A.J. CIN
9 Evans Mike TB
10 Jeffery Alshon CHI
11 Cooks Brandin NO
12 Matthews Jordan PHI
13 Hilton T.Y. IND
14 Adams Davante GB
15 Sanders Emmanuel DEN
16 Tate Golden DET
17 Cooper Amari OAK
18 Johnson Andre IND
19 Landry Jarvis MIA
20 Allen Keenan SD
21 Hopkins DeAndre HOU
22 Marshall Brandon NYJ
23 Johnson Charles MIN
24 Jackson DeSean WAS
25 Maclin Jeremy KC
26 Wallace Mike MIN
27 LaFell Brandon NE
28 Jackson Vincent TB
29 Watkins Sammy BUF
30 Edelman Julian NE
31 Fitzgerald Larry ARI
32 Johnson Steve SD
33 Brown John ARI
34 White Roddy ATL
35 Bryant Martavis PIT
36 Smith Torrey SF
37 Crabtree Michael OAK
38 Floyd Michael ARI
39 Cruz Victor NYG
40 Decker Eric NYJ
41 Garcon Pierre WAS
42 Boldin Anquan SF
43 Stills Kenny MIA
44 Smith Steve BAL
45 Agholor Nelson PHI
46 Robinson Allen JAX
47 Wright Kendall TEN
48 Colston Marques NO
49 Parker DeVante MIA
50 Harvin Percy BUF
51 Latimer Cody DEN
52 Perriman Breshad BAL
53 Williams Terrance DAL
54 Randle Rueben NYG
55 Green-Beckham Dorial TEN
56 Britt Kenny STL
57 Baldwin Doug SEA
58 Bowe Dwayne CLE
59 Funchess Devin CAR
60 Quick Brian STL
61 Jones Marvin CIN
62 Floyd Malcom SD
63 Moncrief Donte IND
64 Hunter Justin TEN
65 Patterson Cordarrelle MIN
66 Huff Josh PHI
67 Strong Jaelen HOU
68 Kearse Jermaine SEA
69 Lee Marqise JAX
70 Nelson Jordy GB
71 Benjamin Kelvin CAR
72 White Kevin CHI

September 6th, 2015

Posted In: NFL Fantasy Football

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1 Charles Jamaal KC
2 Peterson Adrian MIN
3 Bell LeVeon PIT
4 Lacy Eddie GB
5 Anderson C.J. DEN
6 Lynch Marshawn SEA
7 Hill Jeremy CIN
8 Miller Lamar MIA
9 Ingram Mark NO
10 Murray Latavius OAK
11 Forte Matt CHI
12 Murray DeMarco PHI
13 Randle Joseph DAL
14 Morris Alfred WAS
15 Forsett Justin BAL
16 Abdullah Ameer DET
17 Hyde Carlos SF
18 Foster Arian HOU
19 Gore Frank IND
20 McCoy LeSean BUF
21 Martin Doug TB
22 Ellington Andre ARI
23 Stewart Jonathan CAR
24 Crowell Isaiah CLE
25 Spiller C.J. NO
26 Gordon Melvin SD
27 Bernard Giovani CIN
28 Yeldon T.J. JAX
29 Vereen Shane NYG
30 Gurley Todd STL
31 Ivory Chris NYJ
32 Bell Joique DET
33 Blount LeGarrette NE
34 Coleman Tevin ATL
35 Jennings Rashad NYG
36 Sproles Darren PHI
37 Johnson Duke CLE
38 Freeman Devonta ATL
39 Mathews Ryan PHI
39 Mason Tre STL
40 Williams Andre NYG
41 Sankey Bishop TEN
42 Sims Charles TB
44 McFadden Darren DAL
45 Robinson Denard JAX
46 Helu Roy OAK
47 Cadet Travaris NE
48 Johnson David ARI
49 McKinnon Jerick MIN
50 Allen Javorius BAL
51 Jackson Fred SEA
52 Bush Reggie SF
53 Williams DeAngelo PIT
54 Robinson Khiry NO
55 Michael Christine DAL
55 Davis Knile KC
56 Ball Montee DEN
57 Ridley Stevan NYJ
59 Cobb David TEN
60 Woodhead Danny SD
61 White James NE
62 Carey KaDeem CHI
64 West Terrance CLE
65 Stacy Zac NYJ
66 Riddick Theo DET
67 Turbin Robert SEA
68 Starks James GB
69 Ajayi Jay MIA

September 6th, 2015

Posted In: NFL Fantasy Football

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Bortles looks like Luck - plays like Locker

1 Luck Andrew IND
2 Rodgers Aaron GB
3 Roethlisberger Ben PIT
4 Ryan Matt ATL
5 Manning Peyton DEN
6 Brees Drew NO
7 Wilson Russell SEA
8 Brady Tom NE
9 Newton Cam CAR
10 Manning Eli NYG
11 Tannehill Ryan MIA
12 Stafford Matthew DET
13 Romo Tony DAL
14 Rivers Philip SD
15 Bradford Sam PHI
16 Flacco Joe BAL
17 Bridgewater Teddy MIN
18 Kaepernick Colin SF
19 Palmer Carson ARI
20 Dalton Andy CIN
21 Carr Derek OAK
22 Cutler Jay CHI
23 Foles Nick STL
24 Smith Alex KC
25 Bortles Blake JAX
26 Cousins Kirk WAS
27 Mariota Marcus TEN
28 Winston Jameis TB
29 Smith Geno NYJ
30 Mallett Ryan HOU
31 Hoyer Brian HOU
32 Sanchez Mark PHI
33 Cassel Matt BUF
34 McCown Josh CLE
35 Fitzpatrick Ryan NYJ
36 Osweiler Brock DEN
37 Manuel EJ BUF
38 Garoppolo Jimmy NE
39 Griffin Robert WAS
40 Mettenberger Zach TEN
41 Manziel Johnny CLE

September 6th, 2015

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Bloody Saturday frequently steals all the headlines, as owners look for the impact from the cut down to 53 man rosters. The PUP, (Physically Unable to Perform) list is a holder of many impact changes.
Essentially, these guys are out for 6 weeks – at a min – – the impact is of course is not just to themselves but, potential bumps to the player who will replace them or to a do a different complimentary player on the roster.
IDP’ers – – Bengal MLB Vontaze Burfict will start the year on the PUP. The dreaded microfracture surgery performed in January is slow on the mend.

Bears WR, Kevin White, the replacement for Brandon Marshall won’t make it on the field to week 7 . . if that. Keep an eye on his health – place a waiver claim in week 4 or 5 and see what happens. Eddie Royal is the player who has vaulted up draft boards as a result. Eddie is entrenched in rounds 9-14 in various formats. He had some 70 catch season with the Chargers and should find similar production opposite Jeffrey.

Jets RB.Stevan Ridley, rehabbing a torn ACL. Not much fantasy value to start with, but the news further entrenches Chris Ivory as a value pick. Ivory is almost all the Jets have, he should represent a high consistent floor but a low ceiling. He is a favorite of Zero RB drafters.

Patriots WR, Brandon Lafell, he was still getting picked up in rounds 13,14 . . . . wow. Aaron Dobson may become fantasy relevant. The kid just needs a big game to get his own confidence and Brady’s rolling. Note – LaFell’s injury is a foot injury, not a good injury for a WR to recover from. Add in Reggie Wayne’s release, Danny Amendola and Jalen Saunders need to get long looks on your boards. Note , one time prospect Brian Tyms was also waived earlier and Brandon Gibson went as well, injured. The Wayne signing makes sense when you see the blood at WR this summer for the Pats. What does this all mean? Amendola, Edelman, Gronk and ???? Dobson are the guys!

Silas Reed, Redskin 3rd down back was well liked by coaching, went IR – -they Skins did not pick up a player to replace . . . hence the rookie Matt Jones love. Clear field in front of the rookie Jones, who is moving up boards every week. The injuries to Paulson and Paul and TE also make the pass catching rookie likely to see more snaps than earlier predicted.

Paul Richardson, Seattle, WR, not a fantasy noteworthy player, but does keep more balls heading undervalued Graham’s way. Wilson will look to get the Seahawks money’s worth and target Jimmy as often as he can, the lack of cominate pass catching wideouts only helps Jimmy more.

Dolphin Rookie RB, Jay Ajayi has also been placed on IR for a broken rib.   Already an injury risk , Damien Williams now becomes a clear cut #2 with value behind Lamar Miller.

David Cobb, the rookie Titan many fell in love with is already on PUP with a calf.  Sankey now is the #1 pure and simple.   On the heels of that . . . Terrance West was traded from the Browns to the Titans for a 7th round.    A very interesting move . . . what it means . . . . go with Crowell  . . . . enough already of Duke Johnson.

Raven TE, Dennis Pitta, grab Maxx Williams , don’t wait to long . . . Pitta is a non threat. Williams will go undrafted in may formats, he could however be a decided advantage down the stretch. NFL bloodlines always pay off.

If you drafted Jonas Gray and are ready to hit the dump button I advise patience. Several RB thin teams could be interested in a flyer on the Patriots cast off. Gray showed some skills and managed to stay on the dressed roster “most” of last year for one of the league’s most demanding coaches. I suggest you wait at least 1 week to see if he lands on his feet. The Colts are a team that make a lot of sense, the Colt would get some valuable recon and help in prep for this year’s match, plus get an upgrade over injured Boom Heron, and flyer sleeper Josh Robinson. The Ravens are terrible thin behind Forsett, my rookie sleeper Buck Allen has showed little I pre-season and Taliaferrro is out with a knee injury.

Another reason to hold on, both of these teams are high output offenses and Gray could carve out a niche role in addition to serving as a primary handcuff.

Other teams that may window shop, the Falcons, Raiders, Steelers, and Panthers. The Falcons and Steelers being the teams you naturally want a piece of . This situation serves to remind us all . . . . speed on cuts is not always the best move. Determine if the player has value to others before a final cast off.
If you missed Saturday’s hot stove you missed our reminder in regard to the foot doctor. We originally talked about this back in July. Charles Johnson, WR , Vikings went to see him upon arrangement with OC Norv Turner. The likelihood Johnson becomes Bridgewater’s’ main target is extremely high.

September 6th, 2015

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Cincinnati Main Events are in the Book
The KFFSC kicked off the live Main Event Draft Season on August 25th. In a draft highlighted by the arrival of industry aces like Jason Conn, the Cox team and more.

The third year for the growing event Commissioner Ferrell Elliot plans to expand the venue as more participants learn about the event. The South Carolina kids drove out to draft live and scored a great draft. Jarrett and Michael arrived in time to watch the first draft which allowed them to adjust strategy for the draft they were in at 4:00 pm.

Great plan, they discussed with prior to the draft where they wanted to picking from and the players they hyped to get. Beckham, Cobb and K Allen went 1,2,3 to them In round 4 they went after xxx xxxxxx, RB, xxxxx. A sleeper for them, a riser on most boards. Taking xxxxx xxxxx! in round 5 is a steal to me . A player who running behind that OL could be a top 5 RB this year. IN the 5th !!!

IF you have not joined a KFFSC draft the draft starts with a bang. As they auction off draft position. The dollars spent to buy your draft position count against your waiver wire budget. In Cincy we saw the coveted 11,12 spot go for big dollars again. . . . . $330 for the 12 spot. In a third round reversal format the player at the 12 spot is essentially getting 3 of the top 25 players.

This coming weekend, August 28-30, the KFFSC will kickoff the regalia at the Horseshoe in Louisville. Hundreds of participants and guest will descend on Casino, participants and guest. Belky and Gerzak from the FFPC’s High Stakes Fantasy Football Hour will be their broadcasting live on Friday night right on location.

Josh Huff WR is the fastest ascending player on the board, you will have to massively adjust your draft plan to get him on your team . Tune into the KFFSC AllPurposeRoto Fantasy Hour on Tuesday night at 8:00 pm for all the details and reveals.

The Jordy Nelson injury shows just how fickle the game can be . Devonta Adams went in the 8th, 9th and 9th. WE will see this weekend how far up boards he will move. Devin Funchess, in response to the Benjamin injury went in the 6,7, and 9th.

What is our response to the Nelson injury, its drafting Lacey if he falls to us in round 1. His role in the offense will grow. Cobb, now will get the lock down corner every game and may have games of great disappointment. I like the Olson move up as a reaction to the Benjamin injury as I target xxxx in Round 6 or 5.

A note here, insider info, the South Carolina boys steered me hard away from Cobb and are on the Sankey bandwagon. What a great story that could be. We will be drafting all day Saturday and Sunday, call or join us. If you are in driving distance, come check it out and scout it for next year. Nice Casino, exercise room , walking path for the wife / girlfriend and major shopping outlets a short drive away.

August 24th, 2015

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The anticipation of the first Main Event Draft was electric Monday night. The 9pm Draft started with a bang.
Le’Veon Bell, Jamaal Charles, Eddie Lacy . . . take that RB Zero Strategist.

The remainder of Round One saw, A Brown, J Jones, Dez, D Thomas and ODB at WR – with Adrian Peterson and Gronk mixed in. At the 11,12 spot Lynch and Hill went.

Coming off the turn CJ Anderson, Matt Forte made up the 13th and 14th overall.

Frank Gore went at the 24 spot, that was a surprise. 3rd Round reversal kicked in and the 12 spot team added Jordan Matthews to Jeremy Hill and CJ Anderson. The 11 spot team took Alshon Jeffery to pair up with Marshawn Lynch and Matt Forte.

Round 3, Edelman fell to the 35 spot , nice value. Ingram went 36, no doubt the Spillar injury news moved him up a bit.

Where did red hot Ameer Abdullah go? It wasn’t round 5. Joseph Randle is a 4th round pick . . . . darn.

Foster Fell, . . . how far. Charles Johnson and Eddie Royal are on the move up boards. Tune in, or download the August 18 podcast to get the low down on all the picks.

Cardinal WR, John Brown is fast looking like the # 1 guy in Arizona. He went 87th in the 8th round!

August 17th, 2015

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Jordan Reed, TE, Washington. Gave up and banished fried food, bread and added a whole new stretching workout regime. While it did not work . . . yet, the TE is out with an injured hammy already. Jordan is all the Redskins have at TE now that Paul and Paulson are out for the year. Reed is a sure thing as a top 15 TE this year, if he stays on the field.

CJ Anderson tweeked his ankle early in Pre Season Game One. Think about how close Monetee Ball is to being a legit top 15 RB. Ball has more game than folks recall . . watch CJ closely. New coaching staff, high profile position where injuries pile up . . . Ball is the type of player that gives fuel to the less than zero RB strategy.

Jay Gruden’s Washington Offense last year was the leagues 7th best on 3rd down. Can you name the 3 Quarterbacks he used? . . . Yeah . . . thought so , me to. Bet on Pierre Garcon, DeSean Jackson and Alfred Morris to perform well above the ADP they go off at.

A lot is being made about David Carr and Bill Musgrave in Oakland. Let’s recall, Musgrave’s Viking offenses for 3 years were top 8 in running (A. Peterson) and bottom 10 in passing. In Jacksonville for 2 years it was also terrible. Just a word of caution. . . like Amari for PPR and yardage . . the TD’s might be infrequent

Speaking of Oakland Offensive Coordinators, Greg Olson left Oakland to join Jacksonville. Not what you wanted to see if you were looking for upside for young wide receivers Allen Robinson or Allen Hurns. Can’t the Jags find someone to help Bortles.

One of the most “dissed” running backs in fantasy is Giovani Bernard. The Bengals are a ground and pound team now and Geo represents good value. He had 49 catches last year and a combined 7 TD’s Look for him to be more involved in 2015. He is why I pass on Jeremy Hill in early rounds, Geo is an electric player. Dalton is not, hence he is needed on the field for the Bengals.

John Brown, WR, Arizona is a legit threat to lead the Cardinals in receptions. As a rookie last year with a back alley group of QB’s, Brown posted 48 catches for near 700 yards. There in nobody pushing hard at the 4 spot. There is no pass catching TE . . . Brown looks solid. Ahh Brown looks real Sweet.

The Cowboys have the most dominating OL I have seen in over a decade. Joseph Randle could lead the league in rushing . . . seriously. The Boys OL can dominate opponents.

Eli Manning heads into 2015 with Ben McAdoo as the OC for his second year. Manning has worked with Baseball trainers in the off season to keep his arm strong at the end of the season. Manning has the most talented WR crew of his career, add a better OL (draft help) and Shane Vereen as a pass catching RB. Eli may be the best of the QB 3 Tier. Tier I – A. Luck, A. Rogers / Tier II – M. Ryan, T Brady, R Wilson / Tier III – Eli Manning, Peyton Manning, Big Ben, P Rivers, D Brees, C Newton, M Stafford / This is why you wait on QB – still a solid group of starters here

Teddy’s Vikings offense scored 8 TD’s in weeks 1-8. They scored 16 in weeks 9-16. Yes that was the best improvement in the league last year. Last years UFA Charles Johnson at WR had over 400 yards in the last 6 weeks, with no TD’s he is flying under the radar. Kyle Rudolph is a game changer for you as a TE2 if he can stay on the field.

The bandwagon following the Colt’s offense is growing despite a horrific defense and marginal at best Franchise Management. Suggest a pause and a peek at the Packers. A Rogers, J Nelson, R Cobb, D Adams, E Lacy – Luck, Hilton, A Johnson, Gore, Fleener . . . . . the Pack will out perform this group.

Julius Thomas, TE, Jags, hand fracture, already a ton of concerns in regard to the offense . . . now . . injured Ertz looks better. Now, flash back to about 20 High Stakes guest on the Fantasy Tactics show this summer. The common theme . . . . . value. J Thomas may fall into a super attractive round 9 range. He was going round 7 prior to the injury.

Kevin White WR, Chicago, out for the year . . . or half the season. M. Bennett at TE just moved up boards, M Wilson . .. hello. The Bears are actually moving from a near train wreck I want no part of to a collapse that presents great value. The team will be behind . . . . a lot . . . . Forte and Bennett are the beneficiaries of the Jeffery and White injuries and Cutler eventual implosion.

CJ Spillar RB, NO out for 3 weeks min — knee clean up surgery . . . Khiry Robinson, . . get him, no matter how quickly and well Spillar looks.

Trestman’s offense nearly led the league in Touchdown success rate in the red zone the last two years. . . . and that was with Cutler. Expect Flaco to benefit along with Forsett.

Ninerville . . . . exit Harbaugh, then Patrick Willis, Mike Iupati (pro bowl guard), Frank Gore, Chris Borland, Michael Crabtree, Dan Skuta, Justin Smith . . . that team is a shell of what it once was. The take away. Kapernick spent two months working with Kurt Warner in the off season. Just not sure that is a good thing, just when the Niners needed him to run more . . for his life.

Doug Martin has many of us back in line, drafting him as a upside RB3. Just when we all get comfortable with that, everyone is forgetting about Charles Simms. Simms missed 8 games last year, derailing his rookie campaign. Ankle injuries are tough to come back from, despite that the rookie still grabbed 19 catches. God size, 6’0″, 211, West Virginian heading into his second year . . . . if he clicks with Winston.

Tevin Coleman is more hype that substance at this point. Matt Ryan is the Atlanta franchise. If the rookie even sniffs of not knowing his playbook he wil be a slow starter. Watch his involvement in pre season. Devonta Freeman has moved down draft boards past Freeman and represents great value. Freeman pulled in 30 catches in his rookie effort last year.

If your news feed or fantasy source is calling Brandin Cooks a break out candidate you should find a new source . . . . Cooks is way past that status.

August 15th, 2015

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3rd Round Reversal – What Ya Going To Do?

In the KFFSC and other fast growing National Contest, the drafts in each league are started with a bidding process to determine your draft position. Usually, your waiver wire budget is the pool of the money used to bid on the draft position. Should you spend $300 of your $1000 waiver wire budget to acquire the 10th slot, you will only have $700 for the rest of the year in waiver wire bidding. In 2015, you will find me spending a fair chunk of my free agent money on securing the 10th, 11th or 12th slot. This has been a popular position in the past with new owners and with less experienced participants. However, 2015 represents a shift, I predict an increased, intense efforts along with spending to acquire those picks in 2015.

As a player in a 3rd round reversal contest the coveted position is usually the 10,11,12 spot. A careful ranking of the top 27 will indicate to you the 3 pack of talent you can build your franchise around. Let’s look at the top 50 which will show you your options for your first 5 players if you pick out of the 11 spot

If you pick 11, your picks will be – 11 / 14 / 26 / 47 / 50 overall. This may not look like a significant advantage at first glance. However, the players in Tier One – 14 of them, are significantly better than the next group of 12. So getting two players from this group is a great start and better than having the 6th best player and the 18th best player.

Draft Spots Selected – 1-14 Blue Chip – Near Can’t Miss Value – – Your Picks 11 and 14 – These 14 are a clear step above the next group of 12 (where you will pick again ) You get 2 of the top 14

Draft Spots Selected – 15-26 In the Money – Players who should be near locks to perform as every week starters to anchor your team – Your Pick 26. This group of 11 are close in value to each other, getting the 16th player, is not a big leap over getting the 26th. AJ Green vs DeAndre Hopkins.

Draft Spots Selected – 27-47 Expected Starters – This group of 20 players do not have a lot of value and potential separating them, a player at 29 for example is not a huge upgrade over the player at 45. Brandin Cooks vs Jordan Matthews. However, this group of 20 are a step below the 15-26 group.

Draft Spots Selected – 48-50 Last of the elite – This group is the cutoff before positional needs and a bevy of potential players mix into together. I want 5 of those top 50.

Tier One 1-14
A Peterson, A Brown, O Beckham, L Bell, J Charles, E Lacy, D Bryant, M Lynch, J Jones, J Nelson, D Thomas, C Johnson, M Forte, Rob Gronkowski . . ok you get two of these to start your franchise. For me, I’m great with any 2 of these , but I’d be delighted to see someone go Lynch and Lacy so I can grab WR.

Tier Two 15-26
A Luck, CJ Anderson, D Murray, AJ Green, R Cobb, A Rogers, TY Hilton, L McCoy, J Hill, E Sanders, B Cooks, A Jeffery, – 26 Players ranked. You need to rank the next 12 to determine who options for your 3rd player . I am not advocating taking Luck or Rogers, but it is almost a certainty they will go. One of the above players will be your third. In this group I am hoping that other GM’s select ROgers, Luck, Hill, and CJ, leaving me one of the others.

Tier Three 27-47
J Graham, J Forsett, D Hopkins, F Gore, K Benjamin, M Ingram, L Miller, A Johnson, J Landry, J Matthews G Tate, K Allen, J Edelman, C Hyde, A Morris, J Randle, J Stewart, T Kelce, J Randle, L Murray – 47 Players

The strategy to place your team in the 10,11,12 slot is keyed upon the distinct advantage you see in owning 3 of the top 27 players. Once you are rostered up with your first 3 picks, a look at the next 19 players represents the pool of players that will be drafted en route to your Round 4 pick. Add 3 more and from that pool of 50 you have your first 5 players.

Example :
Tier One (First 14) you get two players – – at the 11 slot you get Julio Jones and Jordy Nelson.
Tier Two (Next 15-26) you get – – Emmanuel Sanders
Tier Three (Next group from the 27-47 pool) – – at the 26 spot you get Alfred Morris
Tier Four (Next Group from t he 48-50 pool) – at the 50 spot you get Joseph Randle.

August 15th, 2015

Posted In: 2015 Draft Rankings, NFL Fantasy Football, Strategy

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